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JPMorgan: The expected return of trading strategies based on Trump's social media posts is not expected to exceed 4%, and investors are advised to operate with caution.
ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi report, the latest research by JPMorgan shows that the market-sensitive social media posts of Trump's current term have significantly decreased compared to his first term. The study found that out of 126 posts involving sensitive topics such as trade tariffs, diplomatic relations, and the economy, only 10% caused significant currency market Fluctuation, with tariffs-related content having the greatest impact, causing about one-third of the market Fluctuation. For example, a post announcing a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada at the beginning of February led to respective currency declines of over 2% and 1%. Analysts at JPMorgan pointed out that despite Trump's market-sensitive posts last week exceeding 20, double the January average, it is still far below the peak level of 60 per week during the 2018-19 trade friction period. The research team recommends that investors trade with caution, as the expected yield of the strategy based on the content of the post is not expected to exceed 4%. Currently, Trump has turned to strengthen direct communication in the Oval Office, holding question-and-answer sessions with reporters almost daily.