GF Securities: Low probability of US economic recession, but market Fluctuation may continue

Jinshi Data News on August 8th, Zhongjin stated that at present, we reiterate that the resilience of the US economic fundamentals is still there, and the enthusiasm for consumption and investment has not diminished recently due to the stimulation of relaxed financial conditions. Looking forward, with the Fed's interest rate cuts easing the pressure of high short-term interest rates on small businesses, the probability of economic recession is lower. However, we remind that due to factors such as yen Arbitrage trading Close Position (unwinding), geopolitical risks, US elections, and tightening US dollar Liquidity, the probability of sustained high Fluctuation in the market is relatively high.

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GateUser-8a5338efvip
· 2024-08-07 23:50
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