Experts Reveal When the Current Bitcoin Cycle Will Peak

The bullish cycle of Bitcoin is approaching its final stage after 997 days since the bottom of the cycle on November 21, 2022. This suggests that the peak could occur within the next 70 days, possibly from October 15 to November 15, 2025. Bitcoin Cycle Peaks in October–November 2025 In a recent observation of Bitcoin's historical cycle, analyst CryptoBirb shared some noteworthy insights. This indicates that the peak may occur within 70 days, possibly from the date 1Historical data presented by this analyst outlines the length of previous bullish cycles: 2010–2011 (~350 days); 2011–2013 (~746 days); 2015–2017 (~1,068 days); 2018–2021 (~1,061 days). If history repeats itself, the current cycle is predicted to last about 1,060–1,100 days. October to November 15, 2025. As of now, since the bottom of the previous cycle on November 21, 2022, the bullish phase of Bitcoin has lasted 997 days and is approaching its final stage. The peak could occur within the next 70 days if history continues to unfold similarly.

CryptoBirb notes: "The highest odds will also be highest in the next 3 months, with the ideal time being from October 15 to November 15, 2025." The calculation of the peak cycle based on Bitcoin halving events also yields a similar forecast. From the halving in 2012 to the peak in 2013 took about 366 days; from 2016 to 2017 was about 526 days; and from 2020 to 2021 was about 548 days. Based on this, the period from the halving in 2024 to the next peak could be around 518–580 days. CryptoBirb added: "The next peak is expected to occur around the period from October 19 to November 20, 2025 (518–580 days)." To further support this viewpoint, CryptoBirb points out that in previous cycles, October and November have often been the strongest growth months for Bitcoin, especially on key dates such as Monday (20/10, 27/10) and Wednesday (22/10, 29/10). Among those, October 22 is the time when the price is most likely to break out.

The overlap between the four-year cycle of the U.S. presidential election and the Bitcoin halving event further strengthens the hypothesis that the peak of the cycle will occur around mid-October to mid-November 2025. This pattern has been observed multiple times when political factors combine with supply scarcity to drive strong bullish trends. CryptoBirb states: "The next ATH ratio is heavily focused around the period from October 15 to November 15, 2025 — where history, mathematics, and market dynamics converge. I guess we are not far from the fourth week of October anymore." This aligns with the perspective of CEO Alphractal, who believes that the Bitcoin cycle is still intact and could very well peak in October, but warns investors to prepare for increased volatility before reaching the peak. Market Price Down in 2026 From the perspective of market psychology, the period before a peak often witnesses extreme excitement, soaring trading volumes, and a peak in interest in searching for keywords related to Bitcoin. This phase may also experience strong short-term corrections to "shake out" weak holders before the price rises. Bitcoin has experienced a strong bullish momentum along with recent downward corrections.

After the peak, historical trends show that bear markets typically last from 370 to 410 days, with an average decline of about -66%. If this scenario repeats, the downtrend could begin in 2026, leading to a deep correction phase before the next accumulation phase starts. This is why many analysts recommend having an exit strategy before the market reverses. Some investors have planned to withdraw cryptocurrency before December to secure their full profits. However, as @blogtienso reported earlier, some experts believe that the Bitcoin cycle has "died". The current risk forecasting is more difficult, as the potential panic of institutions could reshape the future bear market.